China returns at least 100 American citizens to US custody seized from Taiwan through 2027
GeopolitiekOne-OffChina1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:03 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 54.2%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd31 aug 23, 02:24 UTC2 jan 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
They must be seized by China within the 2023 Taiwan borders
- They must be returned to the US or us ally custody, out of PRC control
- They can be returned as a group or individually or in smaller groups.
- As long as the total is at least 100
- EDIT, June 2024: if no invasion happens, or nobody is seized at all by end, then this is NO.
- This is just about whether this kind of event happens.
