Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 69%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd30 jul 23, 17:09 UTC2 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the US before 2027
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?
Manifold MarketsStephen Casper: by EOY2026, a system with comparable cyber capabilities to Mythos will be widely available?
Manifold MarketsUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketX banned in any European country by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiRegels
Side mirrors cause a lot of drag (they take up perhaps 5% of total energy use).
- They could be replaced with cameras and a display inside the car, but haven't been, partly due to laws.
- This resolves YES if a car without protruding mirrors is broadly, legally available in at least one EU country before 2027 and can drive on all public roads and highways.
- https://www.wired.com/2014/04/tesla-auto-alliance-mirrors/
- [link preview]
Open markten
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 494,6K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 809,3K
- 24u volume
- € 123,4K
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the EU before 2027?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 69% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the EU before 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the EU before 2027 wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Car with no physical side mirrors widely available in the EU before 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Side mirrors cause a lot of drag (they take up perhaps 5% of total energy use).