Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.4%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
11 jan 25, 07:34 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich jurisdictions will recognise same-sex marriages as of 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
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ForecastExRegels
Resolutiecriteria zijn nog niet beschikbaar voor deze markt. Deze sectie wordt na komende verversingen gevuld zodra de bronregels zijn opgeslagen.
Open markten
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
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- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a US state cease to recognize same-sex marriages by 2029??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 89% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a US state cease to recognize same-sex marriages by 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Will a US state cease to recognize same-sex marriages by 2029? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.