At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031
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Verouderd4 sep 23, 21:19 UTC2 jan 32, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Based on western media reports.
- YES if this is confirmed any time through EOY 2031.
- They must be cumulative 100k at one time, not 10k/year for 10 years which each individually go elsewhere or return before EOY.
- This is about the total refugees in the US being at least 100k at a point in time.
- They must be people who were citizens of Taiwan as of 2023 or later (before the initiation of any war/conflict between the countries).
- They must have reached US territory (mainland, ak/hi, or other controlled territory such as guam, military bases, or other land which is controlled by the US) any time (separately or together) through the due date. i.e. they cannot be Thai refugees which pass through Taiwan on the way to the US.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 78% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031 afgewikkeld?
- At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031 wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2032 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt At least 100k recent Taiwanese refugees reach US territory any time through 2031 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Based on western media reports.