Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 6 jun 2026, 22:25 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellinghas it p1 53.6%Koploper van 15 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 49 dagen geleden
Verouderd25 apr 26, 21:361 jan 27, 0:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
has it p154%
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Regels
Will resolve when there is a great consensus or if there is a definitive answer.
- However, if it takes too long, it will resolve NA.
- Update 2026-04-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A cheater is known to exist (based on teacher's account), but the identity of the cheater is unknown.
- Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): All currently unresolved sub-markets will be resolved N/A in the near future if the cheater is still not caught.
- Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Any sub-questions about whether the cheater "gets in any kind of trouble" will resolve N/A because the cheater's identity is unknown.
- Update 2026-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve N/A for unresolved options because even if the cheater gets caught and gets in trouble, there is no guarantee anyone will find out — so resolution criteria cannot be met.