Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling≥$1.5T 90%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd21 mei 26, 19:10 UTC1 okt 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Open markten
Regulation
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt46%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 5,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 99,5K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No80.2%
- Yes19.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 13,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 80,7K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202792%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 16,6K
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+27.3pt70.6%
- 11–14B-8.8pt10.8%
- 8–11B-3.3pt4.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt37.6%
- Before Sep 1, 202724.8%
- Before April 1, 202723.1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 264,4K
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Oklahoma vs Michigan
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
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- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027?
- Manifold Markets prijst ≥$1.5T op 90% per 12 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.