Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling≥$0.8T 100%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 26 dagen geleden
Verouderd22 apr 26, 3:491 jul 26, 3:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
≥$0.8T95.5%
≥$0.9T90.9%
≥$1T3.1%
≥$1.1T2.1%
≥$1.25T2.3%
≥$1.5T1.9%
≥$1.75T1.5%
≥$2T4.5%
≥$2.5T2.7%
3.1%
2.1%
2.3%
1.9%
1.5%
1%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· ≥$0.8T
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen85% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Laag | 100% | — | € 5,7K | € 0 | 25 dagen geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 100% | — | — | — | 26 dagen geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
Gesloten
+9.9pt100%
+12.6pt100%
+66.5pt100%
+9 extra uitkomsten
18 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 449K
24u volume€ 5,7K
POLYMARKETRegels
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Anthropic IPO by __?
€ 14,8KDecember 31,: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
€ 2,6KBefore Sep 1, 2026: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
€ 1,7KBefore Dec 1, 2026: 15%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
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Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).