Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 22 okt 2026, 12:15 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 65.3%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd31 mrt 26, 12:49 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will an annual wealth tax be announced?
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PolymarketWill California pass a wealth tax referendum in 2026?
PredictItWill The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if, on January 1, 2031, either the U.S. federal government, any of the 50 U.S. states, or the District of Columbia enacts an annual tax on personal net worth into law.
- The tax must be explicitly calculated by reference to an individual’s, married couple’s, household’s, or trust’s net worth/wealth above some threshold.
- It may apply only to very wealthy taxpayers and need not apply broadly.
- This market resolves NO otherwise.
- For this market, an annual personal net-worth tax includes:
- an annual tax of X% on net worth above $Y