Wordt de vermogensbelasting voor miljardairs in Californië aangenomen?
One-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingBedrijfsleven2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.4%
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454
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
25 okt 25, 19:38 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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The "2026 Billionaire Tax Act" is a proposed initiative that would confiscate 5% of California billionaires wealth.
- https://calmatters.org/health/2025/10/billionaire-tax-initiative/
- Will a ballot measure that is basically this get on the ballot and pass in California by EoY 2026? Resolves YES if so, NO otherwise.
- Update 2025-12-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if the ballot measure gets on the ballot and passes, even if it is subsequently held up by a court injunction and not actually in effect by end of 2026.
- The resolution is based on whether it passes, not whether it takes effect.
- Update 2026-01-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve N/A under any circumstances.