Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 76.8%
Voorspellers
35
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 uur geleden
Verouderd27 nov 25, 14:04 UTC31 mei 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?
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PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegels
Similar to https://manifold.markets/StephenMcAleese/will-an-ai-model-achieve-superhuman
- This market will be resolved as YES if any AI lab announces that their model has achieved a higher ELO than any human on the Codeforces leaderboard at the time of the model's release.
