Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use??

Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 78% per 27 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use? afgewikkeld?

Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2051 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: "Entry level" is deliberately fuzzy: in 2022 terms this would look like an AI (or AIs) that is assigned an issue, checks out code, makes edits, and submits a PR (that is accepted).

Gebruik deze markt in code of in een AI-agent

Gratis JSON voor deze markt, geen API-sleutel nodig:

AI-agents: roep pm_data_event aan op de MCP-server van CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+6.4pt97%
• Anthropic-5.4pt3%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 3,4 mln.

24u volume

€ 145,3K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt59.5%
• Gemini30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.8pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+2.0pt56.6%
• Google-1.0pt35.4%
• OpenAI+0.2pt6.1%

+12 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+2.6pt96%
• December 15,+0.5pt92%
• November 25,+5.0pt88%

+15 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt30.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.6pt23.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.5pt17.5%

+7 extra uitkomsten

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