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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd29 mei 24, 00:00 UTC1 jan 31, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
This is an attempt to forecast a realistic scenario where AI would be actually doing good (or at least interesting) philosophy by the end of 2030.
- Due to this aim, it is very specific.
- Gaston Bachelard was a French philosopher active in the first half of the 20th century.
- For the purposes of this market what matters is that he wrote five books on the psychoanalysis of the elements, i.e. fire, water, earth and air.
- Earth got two books for some reason.
- These books are a mix between a relatively detailed work of scholarship and psychoanalytical interpretation.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
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- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- € 9,1 mln.
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 63% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)? afgewikkeld?
- AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is an attempt to forecast a realistic scenario where AI would be actually doing good (or at least interesting) philosophy by the end of 2030.