8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
RegelgevingAIOne-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingChinaAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 2026GrondstoffenWeer2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 62.8%
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37
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd28 dec 25, 11:33 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Manifold Markets10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Manifold Markets2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]
Manifold Markets5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?
KalshiWill air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037?
Manifold MarketsRegels
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".
- For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
- You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
- Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- ❗ Full title: 8.
