2026 a nightmare year for Trump?

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 2026 a nightmare year for Trump??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 28 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt 2026 a nightmare year for Trump? afgewikkeld?

2026 a nightmare year for Trump? wordt naar verwachting op 27 november 2026 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt 2026 a nightmare year for Trump? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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KALSHI

Russia unemployment rate in September

• Above 2.0%+10.0pt69.5%
• Above 1.9%77.5%
• Above 2.1%+9.0pt77.5%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 74,5K

24u volume

€ 64,1K

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 0.1%75.5%
• Above 0.2%+5.0pt44.5%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

• Above 1.0%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.5%99.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

• Above 3.7%99%
• Above 3.8%98.5%
• Above 3.9%97.5%

KALSHI

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

• No63%
• Yes37%

Totaal volume

€ 34,1K

24u volume

€ 10,2K

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.1%-2.0pt89.5%

• CPI YoY in November
• Recession in 2027?
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
• US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• CPI in November
• US recession by end of 2026?
• US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
• October Unemployment Rate
• Core CPI in November
• How high will US unemployment go in 2026?