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Gegevens van 8 sep 2026, 23:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Sep 1, 2026 50%
Marktkwaliteit
22 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
26 aug 26, 16:15 UTC5 dec 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare himself Pope before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegels
the named outcome · the named outcome.
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Outcome verified from Federal Register, the White House, and the President of the United States.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Will Trump declare an election emergency? · Before Nov 4, 2026 23%
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump declare an election emergency??
- Limitless prijst Before Sep 1, 2026 op 50% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump declare an election emergency? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump declare an election emergency? wordt naar verwachting op 5 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump declare an election emergency? afgewikkeld?
- Limitless wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Waar wordt Will Trump declare an election emergency? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.