Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffEntertainmentUS PoliticsVerkiezingLatin America1mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 72.4%
Voorspellers
144
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd19 aug 26, 15:17 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiWill the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare an election emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare an election emergency?
LimitlessWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump, in his capacity as President of the United States, officially declares a new national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. 1601 et seq.) on or before November 3, 2026 (11:59 PM EST).
- Source of Truth: The declaration must be officially published as a Presidential Proclamation or Executive Order on the Federal Register (federalregister.gov) or the official White House website (whitehouse.gov).
- Exclusions: This market requires a newly declared national emergency.
- The continuation, extension, or modification of existing national emergencies (such as the January 2025 emergency regarding energy and critical minerals) will not qualify.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 72% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? wordt naar verwachting op 2 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.