KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ding Xuexiang 28%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
44 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 9,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
24 sep 25, 14:00 UTC1 jan 45, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
If the named outcome is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources.
- The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader.
- Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader.
- If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally.
- Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
Open markten
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 94,7K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 11,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 35,2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 356,2K
- 24u volume
- € 13,3K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11,9K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor??
- Kalshi prijst Ding Xuexiang op 28% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? afgewikkeld?
- Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2045 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.