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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
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  3. Top AI model this month
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

2.0% (24u)AI
KalshiKalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Deze markt is beslist: claude-opus-4-6-thinking (99%)

Afgewikkeld: 31 mei 2026, 23:39

Winnende Uitkomst

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

Op 7 dagen afstand

—

Op 24 uur afstand

96%

Consensus
Huidige impliciete kans
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 99%+2.0%
Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

48 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 87,5

Liquiditeit

€ 4,9K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

- / 100.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 12 dagen geleden

Verouderd
30 apr 26, 17:0031 mei 26, 14:00

Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn

claude-opus-4-6-thinking97%
claude-opus-4-61%
0%25%50%75%100%29 mei30 mei31 mei
Uitkomst24uKans
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
+2.0%
99%
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6
-1.0%
1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
1%
gpt-5.5-high
gpt-5.5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-7
claude-opus-4-7
1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
1%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

Regels

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

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€ 0
claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 0%KalshiKALSHI
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What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

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Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,067.77+0.36%EthereumETH$1,676.67+0.50%SolanaSOL$68.21+1.40%DogecoinDOGE$0.0878-0.08%BNBBNB$608.09+0.23%XRPXRP$1.15+1.21%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

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Regels

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.