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  3. When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

One-OffPolitiekUS PoliticsVerkiezing
KalshiKalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Deze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.

Afgewikkeld: 5 jun 2026, 14:49

Huidige impliciete kans
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026 1%
Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 5,5K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

- / 100.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 8 dagen geleden

Verouderd
4 mei 26, 18:0016 mei 26, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026
1%
Before May 20, 2026
Before May 20, 2026
1%
Before May 21, 2026
Before May 21, 2026
1%
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 22, 2026
1%
Before May 23, 2026
Before May 23, 2026
1%
Before Jun 3, 2026
Before Jun 3, 2026
1%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

Regels

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Regels

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.