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Gegevens van 15 sep 2026, 11:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Kimi 0%Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
26 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
9.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
11 sep 26, 16:00 UTC18 sep 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Open Source market share on Sep 14th
KalshiOpen Source market share on Sep 16th
KalshiUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI win? (through 2028)
Manifold MarketsWill it take <=12 months for open-source AI forecasting to go from consistently worse than humans to broadly superhuman?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Artificial Analysis - Open Source
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If GLM is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 70,3K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,4K
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,9K
- 24u volume
- € 21,9K
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 20,9K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Top Open Source AI this week?
- Kalshi prijst Kimi op 0% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Top Open Source AI this week afgewikkeld?
- Top Open Source AI this week wordt naar verwachting op 18 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Top Open Source AI this week afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.