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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Politiek
  3. What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?
What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

Politiek
KalshiKalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Deze markt is beslist: 2028 / Campaign (99%)

Afgewikkeld: 28 mei 2026, 00:44

Winnende Uitkomst

2028 / Campaign

Op 7 dagen afstand

—

Op 24 uur afstand

—

Huidige impliciete kans
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign 99%
Koploper van 15 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

63 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,4K

Liquiditeit

€ 1,3K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Strakke spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 16 dagen geleden

Verouderd
27 mei 26, 20:0711 jun 26, 14:00

Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn

2028 / Campaign99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Republican1%
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Fraud1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Iran / Iranian1%
Trump (3+ times)99%
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting99%
Event does not qualify1%
ID / Identification99%
Spencer / Pratt1%
Democracy99%
Karen / Bass1%
0%25%50%75%100%27 mei
Uitkomst24uKans
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign
99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
1%
Republican
Republican
1%
Corrupt / Corruption
Corrupt / Corruption
1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
1%
Fraud
Fraud
1%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

Regels

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.