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Gegevens van 9 sep 2026, 07:07 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Democrats, 17+ pts 0%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
10.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
1 sep 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 33rd District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor California's 33rd District margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst Democrats, 17+ pts op 0% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt California's 33rd District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- California's 33rd District margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt California's 33rd District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 33rd District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.