KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 85%
Marktkwaliteit
57 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 868,2
Liquiditeit
€ 1,8K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
13.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
29 apr 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.1pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt13%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 608,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 726K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 187 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 670,6K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76.2%
- Yes+2.0pt23.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 13,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 486,2K
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December-1.0pt6%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-1.3pt13%
+48 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)80%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt16%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Texas Governor margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst No op 85% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Texas Governor margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Texas Governor margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Texas Governor margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.