KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Labour (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 19 jun 2026, 03:28
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Winnende Uitkomst
Labour
Op 7 dagen afstand
—
Op 24 uur afstand
89%
ConsensusHuidige impliciete kansLabour 95.2%+10.0ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
39 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 144,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 9,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
- / 1.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 38 dagen geleden
Verouderd16 mei 26, 11:301 jan 28, 15:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Labour99%
Reform UK9%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· Labour
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume
Ook beschikbaar op Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Gesloten
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 0
24u volume€ 0
SMARKETS
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
12.9 ptsGesloten
Afgerond
Andy Burnham (100%)
+12.9pt100%
0%
0%
+30 extra uitkomsten
49 • Lage kwaliteitStrakke spreadLage liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 7,7 mln.
24u volume€ 4,4K
POLYMARKETRegels
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.