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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Politiek
  3. Makerfield by-election winner?
Makerfield by-election winner?

Makerfield by-election winner?

One-OffPolitiekVerkiezing1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Restore Britain
Restore Britain 1%
Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

52 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 467,7

Liquiditeit

€ 3,5K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

1.0% / 2.0%

Spread

100.0%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden

16 mei 26, 11:301 jan 28, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Restore Britain1%

SmarketsOok beschikbaar op Smarkets

Smarkets

Makerfield By-Election - Winner

Smarkets
Green
0.1%
Smarkets
Labour
82.6%
Smarkets
Reform UK
12.5%

+1 extra uitkomsten

28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 0
24u volume€ 0
SmarketsSMARKETS

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

0.1%6d
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham
+1.0%86%
Robert Kenyon
Robert Kenyon
-2.0%13%
Rebecca Shepherd
Rebecca Shepherd
-0.1%3%

+30 extra uitkomsten

73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 2,8 mln.
24u volume€ 147,9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%

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Regels

If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.