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  3. Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Politiek
KalshiKalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Deze markt is beslist: Julia Letlow, 9%+ (100%)

Afgewikkeld: 2 jun 2026, 22:48

Winnende Uitkomst

Julia Letlow, 9%+

Op 7 dagen afstand

—

Op 24 uur afstand

—

Huidige impliciete kans
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
Julia Letlow, 0-3% 0%
Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 710,3

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

- / 0.1%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 10 dagen geleden

Verouderd
19 mrt 26, 14:0016 mei 27, 14:00

Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn

Julia Letlow, 9%+100%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 3-6%0%
John Fleming, 6-9%0%
John Fleming, 9%+0%
Bill Cassidy, 0-3%0%
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%0%
Bill Cassidy, 6-9%0%
Bill Cassidy, 9%+0%
0%25%50%75%100%2 jun2 jun2 jun
Uitkomst24uKans
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
1%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
0%
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
0%
Julia Letlow, 9%+
Julia Letlow, 9%+
100%
John Fleming, 0-3%
John Fleming, 0-3%
0%
John Fleming, 3-6%
John Fleming, 3-6%
0%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

Regels

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Regels

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.