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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Politiek
  3. Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Lai Ching-te departure announced?

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

One-OffPolitiekGeopolitiekChina20d
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Before July 1, 2026
Before July 1, 2026 1%
Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0,7

Liquiditeit

€ 80,3

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

0.1% / 4.9%

Spread

4800.0%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

7 jan 26, 0:001 jul 26, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Before July 1, 20261%

Regels

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,638.15+2.21%EthereumETH$1,649.96+1.51%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%BNBBNB$595.17+1.48%

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Regels

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.