Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 18:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 96%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 10,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
3.7% / 3.8%
Spread
0.1 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
7
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd7 jan 26, 21:0331 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markten
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 180,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 945,4K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 601 mln.
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 extra uitkomsten
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket prijst No op 96% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).