KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Before Jul 16, 2026 (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 14 jul 2026, 15:15
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Herkomst van de afwikkeling
- Huidige uitkomst
- Before Jul 16, 2026
- Vastgelegd
- 16 jul 2026, 07:39
- Waarnemingen
- 1
- Herzieningen
- 0
- Methode
- resolution_watch
Huidige impliciete kansBefore Jan 1, 2027 100%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 907,3
Liquiditeit
€ 242,8K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 dagen geleden
Verouderd24 jun 26, 17:0016 jul 26, 3:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Before Jun 28, 20261%
Before Jul 4, 20261%
Before Jan 1, 2027100%
Before Aug 1, 202699%
Before Jul 16, 202699%
99%
1%
5%
1%
3%
99%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· Before Jan 1, 2027
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Laag | 100% | — | € 907,3 | € 242,8K | 13 dagen geleden | |
 Manifold Markets75% overeenkomst · auto | — | 98% | — | — | — | 16 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
5mnd
+6.1pt97.9%
+6.9pt97.8%
+6.5pt97.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling6 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$5.0k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 dgn geleden
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 dgn geleden$1.3k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 dgn geleden
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yes17 dgn geleden$4.8k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yes19 dgn geleden
KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yes19 dgn geleden$2.9k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — No22 dgn geleden
KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — No22 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$1.0k2 jul13d aan data14 jul
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If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.