Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekRegelgevingAandelen2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 81.9%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 51 minuten geleden
Vertraagd7 jun 26, 22:18 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if a U.S. federal law is officially enacted (either signed by the President or passed via congressional veto override) on or before December 31, 2026, that legally prohibits members of the U.S. House of Representatives and/or the U.S. Senate from buying and/or selling individual, publicly traded stocks.
- To resolve the market to YES, the legislation must satisfy the following conditions:
- Enactment Date: The law must be officially enacted before January 1, 2027.
- The implementation or grace period for compliance (e.g., divestment deadlines) can extend beyond this date, as long as the bill is codified into law before the cutoff.
- Allowed Exemptions: A law will still qualify for a YES resolution if it permits members of Congress to invest in diversified assets (e.g., mutual funds, ETFs, index funds, treasury bills) or to utilize qualified blind trusts.
