KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansBefore 2027 58.7%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 17,6
Liquiditeit
€ 18,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
41.0% / 47.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 25 minuten geleden
1 jan 26, 15:001 okt 26, 3:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Before October40%
Platforms vergelijken· Before 2027
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Laag | 64% | — | € 17,6 | € 18,6K | 25 minuten geleden | |
 Manifold Markets90% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 5% | — | — | — | eergisteren | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
1mnd
-11.0pt5.2%
-5.1pt2.3%
0%
+10 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling64 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$202 jul24d aan data27 jul
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If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.