KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before 2027 49%+21.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Before 2027 49%+21.0ptMarktkwaliteit
45 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 169,8
Open interest
€ 19,7K
Gemiddelde open interestSpread
8.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
21 sep 26, 23:00 UTC1 dec 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Before SeptemberVerloren
Before OctoberVerloren
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Grok 4.8+ (xAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWill xAI release a video game before 2027?
KalshiWill Legally Blonde 3 release before Grok 6?
Manifold MarketsWill xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI market share this week
KalshiDeepSeek market share this week
KalshiRegels
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:xAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Regels per uitkomst
- Before 2027
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before December
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before November
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Grok 5 (xAI) release date · Before 2027 52%
