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  3. Colombian presidential election first round winner?
Colombian presidential election first round winner?

Colombian presidential election first round winner?

74.4% (24u)Politiek
KalshiKalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Deze markt is beslist: Abelardo de la Espriella (96%)

Afgewikkeld: 1 jun 2026, 13:18

Winnende Uitkomst

Abelardo de la Espriella

Op 7 dagen afstand

—

Op 24 uur afstand

24%

Verrassing
Huidige impliciete kans
Abelardo de la Espriella
Abelardo de la Espriella 96%+74.4%
Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

79 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 3,1K

Liquiditeit

€ 4K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

96.3% / 98.7%

Spread

2.5%

Strakke spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 12 dagen geleden

Verouderd
5 mrt 26, 15:0031 mei 27, 14:00

Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn

Abelardo de la Espriella96%
Iván Cepeda Castro61%
0%25%50%75%100%30 mei31 mei1 jun
Uitkomst24uKans
Abelardo de la Espriella
Abelardo de la Espriella
+74.4%
96%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Iván Cepeda Castro
-76.3%
1%
Paloma Valencia
Paloma Valencia
0%
Sergio Fajardo
Sergio Fajardo
0%
Daniel Quintero
Daniel Quintero
0%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

Regels

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

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Regels

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.