KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Reserve Bank of New Zealand 99%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
59 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 23,6K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
5.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 39 minuten geleden
15 mei 26, 21:001 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
Regels
If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal ReserveEuropean Central BankBank of EnglandBank of JapanBank of CanadaReserve Bank of AustraliaReserve Bank of New ZealandNorges BankRiksbankSwiss National Bank
- A rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting.
- Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.
- The market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.
- If the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.
- If the the named outcome raising the Bank Rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 59,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,2 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+6.0pt51.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45.7%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt50.2%
- Fed maintains rate-5.0pt44%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 247,7K
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before July 2027+2.0pt80%
- Before 2028-1.0pt80%
- Before 2027+7.0pt71%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,8 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt66.3%
- No-1.0pt33.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 7,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 43,9K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.4pt88%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt8%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt3%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed decision in September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which central banks will hike before 2027??
- Kalshi prijst Reserve Bank of New Zealand op 99% per 31 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which central banks will hike before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Which central banks will hike before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which central banks will hike before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.