KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitGeen handelsactiviteit
Gegevens van 11 sep 2026, 14:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Above 1430 0%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
92.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
10 sep 26, 22:30 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
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KalshiWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketIf Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If Grok 4.7 scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution.
- Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
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Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+12.5pt89%
- 2026+23.0pt71%
- September 30, 2026+24.5pt43%
- Totaal volume
- € 125,2K
- 24u volume
- € 55K
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+8.0pt42.9%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt25.7%
- Yang-Mills+13.6pt14.3%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+33.0pt90%
- 2026+21.5pt50%
- September 30, 2026+20.5pt34%
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-23.0pt38%
- 2027-1.0pt17%
- 2026-2.0pt5%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt62.8%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt20.6%
- Gemini-0.9pt6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,3 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Grok 4.7 debut arena score?
- Kalshi prijst Above 1430 op 0% per 11 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Grok 4.7 debut arena score afgewikkeld?
- Grok 4.7 debut arena score wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Grok 4.7 debut arena score afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Grok 4.7 scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.