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Gegevens van 11 sep 2026, 14:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Above 1460 0%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
92.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
10 sep 26, 22:30 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiGPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWhich models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If GPT 6 Astra scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution.
- Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
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Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+12.5pt89%
- 2026+23.0pt71%
- September 30, 2026+24.5pt43%
- Totaal volume
- € 125,2K
- 24u volume
- € 55K
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+8.0pt42.9%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer-1.0pt25.7%
- Yang-Mills+13.6pt14.3%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+33.0pt90%
- 2026+21.5pt50%
- September 30, 2026+20.5pt34%
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-23.0pt38%
- 2027-1.0pt17%
- 2026-2.0pt5%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt62.8%
- ChatGPT-0.6pt20.6%
- Gemini-0.9pt6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,3 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor GPT 6 Astra debut arena score?
- Kalshi prijst Above 1460 op 0% per 11 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt GPT 6 Astra debut arena score afgewikkeld?
- GPT 6 Astra debut arena score wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt GPT 6 Astra debut arena score afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If GPT 6 Astra scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.