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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. AI
  3. AI capability growth this year?
AI capability growth this year?

AI capability growth this year?

9.0% (24u)AITechYearly6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
At least 1650 score
At least 1650 score 9%-9.0%
Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0,5

Liquiditeit

€ 204,7

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

6.0% / 9.0%

Spread

50.0%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden

6 jan 26, 15:001 jan 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

At least 1650 score9%

Regels

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

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AI capability growth before July?

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Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

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Manifold Markets

Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?

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Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027

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How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

€ 75,9
$8/MTok or below: 24%KalshiKALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,863.19+2.00%SolanaSOL$65.23+1.73%EthereumETH$1,658.75+1.33%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.40%BNBBNB$601.17+2.46%XRPXRP$1.12+0.50%

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Regels

If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.