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Gegevens van 13 sep 2026, 06:55 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Raúl Castro 100%Koploper van 28 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
22 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendHandelaren
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
30 apr 26, 18:38 UTC1 jan 27, 00:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Destiny be charged by the federal or Florida government by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
KalshiRegels
Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?
- If the named outcome has been formally charged with a federal crime after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://images.ctfassets.net/jg6lo9a2ukvr/6JbZL04LYK78sGvg3AbPWn/974e0445a1cef725626f24205bb61c83/Individual_Charged_-_Terms_and_Conditions.docx.pdf).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt78.4%
- No change+1.0pt20.6%
- 50+ bps increase-0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 120,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,7 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt76.7%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt20.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 53 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps-3.0pt68.8%
- Fed maintains rate+4.0pt24.6%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.1pt92%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.2pt6%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.3pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting82%
- September Meeting-1.0pt79%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-1.5pt86.1%
- No+1.5pt13.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 7,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 54,6K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in September?
- Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026??
- Gemini prijst Raúl Castro op 100% per 13 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Gemini wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Which listed people will be formally charged with a federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?
- Waar wordt Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.