Will the US and Brazil close a rare earths deal in 2026?
HandelsbeleidOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekLatijns-Amerika2mnd
FutuurBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 80%
Nee 80%Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,4K
Lage liquiditeitHandelaren
8
Reacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which country will the US sign a rare earths deal with first ?
Manifold MarketsWill China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
KalshiUS x Cuba economic deal by which date?
PolymarketWill the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsUS announces Cuba oil sanction relief by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This event predicts whether the United States and Brazil will officially conclude a bilateral or framework agreement on rare earths or other critical minerals at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be a joint official announcement by the U.S. and Brazilian governments confirming such an agreement.
- If the United States and Brazil jointly announce the conclusion of a qualifying agreement on rare earths or critical minerals during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Memoranda of understanding or statements of intent that do not constitute a concluded agreement will not count.
- If official announcements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.