Huidige impliciete kans
Ja 72%
Ja 72%Marktkwaliteit
33 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 30,5
Liquiditeit
€ 946,7
Lage liquiditeitHandelaren
9
Reacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This event predicts whether Pedro Sánchez will remain in office as Prime Minister of Spain through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Spanish government announcements or records confirming the prime ministership.
- If Pedro Sánchez officially remains Prime Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he is formally replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official replacement, regardless of caretaker periods.
- If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Spanish or international news organizations.
