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Gegevens van 27 okt 2026, 10:46 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31 22%
December 31 22%Marktkwaliteit
26 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,6K
Lage liquiditeitHandelaren
3
Reacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
Trends
Regels
This set of markets predicts whether Hamas will officially announce that it will disarm in the Gaza Strip.
- Each market below covers one possible deadline; any number of these markets may resolve "Yes" (an announcement made before an earlier deadline also counts toward all later deadlines).
- A market resolves "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip on or before the market's deadline.
- For the purposes of this event, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
- Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons, or agreeing to disarm in stages or in a certain region) qualify as long as they are part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
- Only official announcements qualify — for example, by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? · December 31, 7%
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? · End of 2026 10%
