Huidige impliciete kans
Ja 78%
Marktkwaliteit
32 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 775,4
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This event predicts whether 2026 will be the warmest year on record based on global average surface temperature measurements.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be NASA’s Global Temperature Index (GISTEMP) annual data release for 2026.
- If NASA’s data shows that 2026 has the highest global average temperature on record at the time of release, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If NASA ceases to publish this data or it is exceptionally unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on equivalent datasets from other major climate authorities, such as the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service.
- Resolution will reflect the substantive ranking of 2026’s temperature relative to prior years, not later data revisions.
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CoinRithm-referentie 47% · 2 platforms · 31 pt spreiding tussen venues
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will 2026 be the warmest year on record??
- Futuur prijst Yes op 78% per 25 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? afgewikkeld?
- Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? afgewikkeld?
- Futuur wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This event predicts whether 2026 will be the warmest year on record based on global average surface temperature measurements.
- Waar wordt Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op ForecastEx, Manifold Markets.