Will California pass a wealth tax referendum in 2026?
2.0 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezione2m
PredictItVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione non verificatiRetail prediction exchange
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 70%+2.0pt
No 70%+2.0ptMetodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo di domanda
-
Volume 24h
0,9 €
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
19 feb 26, 16:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, in a referendum election held in 2026, voters in the State of California approve a ballot initiative with the effect of imposing a one-time tax on individuals with a net worth that is above a certain threshold.
This market shall resolve to No prior to the end of 2026 in the event that no such initiative qualifies to be on a ballot in 2026, or in the event that such a referendum election is held and fails and no subsequent qualifying referendum is scheduled to be held in 2026.
Committee votes, hearings, or reports, other procedural votes, and any subsequent litigation will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
This market shall resolve to No prior to the end of 2026 in the event that no such initiative qualifies to be on a ballot in 2026, or in the event that such a referendum election is held and fails and no subsequent qualifying referendum is scheduled to be held in 2026.
Committee votes, hearings, or reports, other procedural votes, and any subsequent litigation will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.