Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Oct. 20?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 2026
PredictItChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione non verificatiRetail prediction exchange
Dati di risoluzione non verificati: Democrats 8.5%-8.9% (99%)
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 20 ott 2026, 14:59 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP2%
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%2%
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%2%
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%2%
Democrats 7.5%-7.9%0%
Democrats 8.0%-8.4%3%
Democrats 8.5%-8.9%0%
Democrats 9.0%-9.4%2%
Democrats ≥ 9.5%2%
Democrats 8.5%-8.9%Risultato in attesa
Democrats 7.5%-7.9%Risultato in attesa
Democrats 8.0%-8.4%Risultato in attesa
Democrats 7.0%-7.4%Risultato in attesa
Democrats 9.0%-9.4%Risultato in attesa
Democrats ≥ 9.5%Risultato in attesa
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOPRisultato in attesa
Democrats 6.0%-6.4%Risultato in attesa
Democrats 6.5%-6.9%Risultato in attesa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 10/20/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
