Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?

4.0% (24h)EconomiaMonthlyWeather1m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 9%-0.0%

Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

26,4 €

Liquidità

796,5 €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

7.0% / 10.0%

Spread

42.9%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 22 minuti fa

24 lug 26, 16:121 set 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes9%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve "Yes" if the D4 Exceptional Drought value shown in the official U.S.

Drought Monitor's weekly "Categorical Percent Area" statistics table for Virginia published by the National Drought Mitigation Center at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx?dregion,4 is 1.00% or greater in any weekly release published from market creation through August 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
D4 Exceptional Drought is defined as described at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/About/AbouttheData.aspx.
"Virginia" means the entire State of Virginia as recognized under U.S. law.
Eligibility is determined solely by the release's publication date, not the date its underlying map data is valid "as of" (USDM releases are typically published on Thursday but reflect conditions as of the preceding Tuesday), except as provided in the force majeure clause below.

Trend del volume

$30

24 lug3g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?

CPI in July

Unemployment in July

Unemployment in August

247,9 €

Above 4.2%: 60%

KALSHI

How many jobs added in July?

0 €

50k – 100k: 33%

POLYMARKET

US unemployment rate above 4.2% in July?

0 €

Sì: 45%

FUTUUR

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Regole

This market will resolve "Yes" if the D4 Exceptional Drought value shown in the official U.S.

Drought Monitor's weekly "Categorical Percent Area" statistics table for Virginia published by the National Drought Mitigation Center at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx?dregion,4 is 1.00% or greater in any weekly release published from market creation through August 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
D4 Exceptional Drought is defined as described at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/About/AbouttheData.aspx.
"Virginia" means the entire State of Virginia as recognized under U.S. law.
Eligibility is determined solely by the release's publication date, not the date its underlying map data is valid "as of" (USDM releases are typically published on Thursday but reflect conditions as of the preceding Tuesday), except as provided in the force majeure clause below.