Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 51%+0.2%
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
70,3 €
Liquidità
139,4 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
34.0% / 67.0%
Spread
97.1%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
24 lug 26, 16:331 set 26, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes51%
Trend del volume
$8024 lug3g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
26,4 €Sì: 9%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
CPI in July
4,9K €Above -0.1%: 86%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Unemployment in July
2,2K €Above 4.3%: 16%KALSHI
KALSHIUnemployment in August
247,9 €Above 4.2%: 60%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many jobs added in July?
0 €50k – 100k: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US unemployment rate above 4.2% in July?
0 €Sì: 45%FUTUUR
FUTUURAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
This market will resolve "Yes" if the D4 Exceptional Drought value shown in the official U.S.
- Drought Monitor's weekly "Categorical Percent Area" statistics table for Oregon published by the National Drought Mitigation Center at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspx?dregion,4 is 1.00% or greater in any weekly release published from market creation through August 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
- D4 Exceptional Drought is defined as described at https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/About/AbouttheData.aspx.
- "Oregon" means the entire State of Oregon as recognized under U.S. law.
- Eligibility is determined solely by the release's publication date, not the date its underlying map data is valid "as of" (USDM releases are typically published on Thursday but reflect conditions as of the preceding Tuesday), except as provided in the force majeure clause below.