PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoRegolato dal provider, mercato per mercato
Risolto: 31 ott 2026, 21:54
Questo evento non ha un unico vincitore. Il provider ha regolato ogni mercato separatamente; ogni mercato mostra il proprio risultato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 31 ott 2026, 18:29 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
October 31 100%+3.4ptIn testa tra 30 esiti
October 31 100%+3.4ptQualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
517,7 €
Liquidità
1,4K €
Bassa liquiditàOpen interest
2,2K USD
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+8.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ott 26, 14:26 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Cronologia delle Probabilità
October 3098%
October 3196%
October 16100%
October 23100%
October 29100%
October 31100%
October 10Vinta
October 11Vinta
October 12Vinta
October 13Vinta
October 14Vinta
October 15Vinta
October 16Vinta
October 17Vinta
October 18Vinta
October 19Vinta
October 2Vinta
October 20Vinta
October 21Vinta
October 22Vinta
October 23Vinta
October 24Vinta
October 25Vinta
October 26Vinta
October 27Vinta
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk and Donald Trump publicly support different candidates in any 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsHow many more times will Trump publicly praise Allah in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
KalshiWill Donald Trump publicly threaten to annex, invade, or “take over” the Poobahverse or Bafflington by 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET).
- Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available.
- Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported.
- Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.