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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

1.5% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 4%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

9,5K €

Liquidità

30,5K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

3.4% / 4.5%

Spread

32.4%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

9 giu 26, 1:0831 lug 26, 19:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes4%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
  • The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.