PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 84.2%+2.0pt
Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
278,4 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
11.0% / 20.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 19:05 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will long-term capital gains tax rate (federal) be increased in the US by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by which date?
Polymarket🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?
KalshiWill federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?
KalshiFederal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
- Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 84% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027??
- Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.