PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 44%-2.0%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
35,4K €
Liquidità
7,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
6.7% / 7.7%
Spread
14.9%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-1.3%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
11 feb 26, 20:1131 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
December 3144%
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KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.