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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

3.5% (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-OffTecnologia1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
July 31
July 31 15%-5.0%
Qualita del mercato

61 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

17,5K €

Liquidità

10,1K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

9.0% / 11.0%

Spread

22.2%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

5 giu 26, 22:4631 lug 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

July 3115%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.423665° N, 37.221521° E) located in Dorozhnie, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Mercati Correlati

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

3,7K €
July 31: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

1K €
Sì: 12%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

81,8K €
December 31: 14%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,7 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

447 €
Sì: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Sì: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,607.97+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.06+1.37%SolanaSOL$65.07+0.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.02%BNBBNB$595.28+1.26%XRPXRP$1.12-0.29%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.423665° N, 37.221521° E) located in Dorozhnie, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.