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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

7.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / UkraineTecnologia18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
July 31
July 31 27%+5.0%
In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

3,6K €

Liquidità

9,3K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

16.0% / 18.0%

Spread

12.5%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-9.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

5 mag 26, 23:4830 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
May 31
May 31
0%

Esito scelto

July 3127%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351463° N, 37.207979° E) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Rodynske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Mercati Correlati

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

7,1K €
July 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

1K €
Sì: 13%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

80,9K €
December 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Sì: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Sì: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,864.49+2.26%EthereumETH$1,657.62+1.62%SolanaSOL$65.26+1.54%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%BNBBNB$596.58+1.81%XRPXRP$1.12+0.47%

Notizie Correlate

Google Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.NewsNvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto NewsRussia sanctions British teenager for alleging A7A5 use in funding Ukraine warCoindeskBig tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindeskModern robots impress, but are years away from replacing humansCointelegraphPeace talks eyed as 2027 deadline looms, markets edge NoBlockchain.News

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351463° N, 37.207979° E) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Rodynske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.